Compare to bank
AUD / USD
0.7340 – 0.7460
In figures released on Thursday the nation' unemployment rate remained steady at 5.6 percent during the month of October. Whilst Australia' workforce participation rate fell to its lowest level in a decade, 9,800 new jobs were created last month with a 0.9 percent rise in the total number of hours worked indicative of full-time employment growth. Having a neutralising impact on the AUD which has remained well and truly out of favour over the past five days, the local unit has managed to trade between a low of 0.7396 and a high 0.7500 when valued against its US Counterpart over the past 24 hours. Opening once again lower at a rate of 0.7413, data prints from the United States this evening are likely to garnish significant attention as the US dollar bulls prepare for another upward push.
Great British Pound
GBP / AUD
1.6680 – 1.6720
Sustained strength in the world' reserve currency has eroded earlier gains for the Great British Pound which tracked as high as 1.2504 versus the Greenback overnight. Assisted early by a strong retail sales number for the month of October which revealed its strongest growth rate since April of 2002, underlying sales increased by 1.9 percent, a number which comfortably exceeded the forecast gain of 0.5 percent. Hamstrung by a US dollar which has swept up everything in its path, the Sterling opens weaker versus the Greenback at a rate of 1.2419. Meanwhile versus both the Australian dollar (1.6756) and the New Zealand dollar (1.7652) the Sterling opens in a more commanding position.
USD, EUR, JPY
In a busy session of macro-economic flows from the United States, Housing Starts and Building Permit numbers both surpassed expectations for the month of October whilst the all-important Consumer Price Index increased by a seasonally adjusted 0.4 percent. Holding close to its highest level in five months versus the Yen before Japan' Prime Minister Shinzo Abe meets with President – elect Donald Trump in New York, the US Dollar Index which tracks the US currency versus 10 of its major peers remained close also to the record highs witnessed on Wednesday. Pushing global stocks higher and Treasuries lower, US Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen confirmed overnight that an interest rate hike would be coming relatively soon, a view which, along with the perceived fiscal assistance from Trump helps explains the Greenback substantial rally, it has surged by 2.8 percent this week alone. Ahead of further rhetoric from Janet Yellen this evening, ECB President Mario Draghi is also due to speak at the 26th European Banking Congress in Frankfurt. .
New Zealand Dollar
NZD / USD
0.6980 – 0.7100
With technical resistance levels kicking in for the US Dollar intraday yesterday, the New Zealand dollar bounced from the lows witnessed overnight on Wednesday, managing instead to push back towards the 71 US Cents handle. Proving to be an early and unsustainable push higher, bets of an interest rate rise from the US Federal Reserve next month have cemented the Greenbacks dominance with Janet Yellen overnight doing very little to water down expectations that rise in borrowing costs will be delivered in December. Following another a session of US dollar strength, the Kiwi opens in a vulnerable position this morning as it currently buys 70.35 US Cents.
0.7380 – 0.7630
The Australian dollar has seen downward pressure overnight as commodity prices weakened and the US Dollar index hit 14 year highs overnight. The market continues to buy US dollars on higher US Yields and pricing is now a 90% chance of the US Federal Reserve increasing their interest rates by 0.25% at the December 15th Meeting. Traders will look to Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen' testimony this evening to see if there is any rhetoric around December rate increases and the Trump effect of proposed economic policies. From an intraday high of 0.7570 the Australian dollar broke through critical support levels to touch overnight lows 0.7460. Direction of the Aussie now hinges on Unemployment figures this morning where it is expected to increase to 5.7%. This evening an array of American data is released to the market including inflation figures, the Phil Fed Manufacturing index and unemployment claims. The Australian dollar opens this morning at 0.7475.
1.6425 – 1.6825
The Great British Pound edged marginally lower through trade on Wednesday slipping back below 1.2450 as investors continue to chase increasing USD yield and denominated assets. Having steadied on better than expected unemployment numbers Sterling appears to be struggling to break outside near term ranges between 1.2360 and 1.2680. Having maintained a relatively tight trading band throughout November thus far investors are seeking a catalyst that will push the Sterling through or below key support and resistance levels. Today' UK retail sales reports may prompt activity with a strong read forcing the BoE and MPC to rethink its current easing platform. Private sector consumption remains a key driver of growth in the UK and the Bank is compiling and comparing macroeconomic indicators in determining which way to push future monetary policy.
The U.S Dollar rally continued through trade on Wednesday as the momentum following Trump' election win continues to push U.S treasury yields higher and drive investors towards U.S denominated assets. Having touched 14 year highs the dollar index' upward trajectory stalled as markets looked to square positions and take profits ahead of a series of key data macroeconomic data sets and Fed commentary. While the Yen remained relative stable throughout much of the session the Euro tumbled through 1.07 to intraday lows at 1.0667. Fears the tide of nationalist politics could move east across Europe, coupled with a burgeoning gap in expected central bank monetary policy platforms have forced the shared currency lower as analysts bet the Fed will raise rate in December and at a faster pace through 2017. The Greenbacks remarkable rally does not come without concerns however. The speed of the upward push suggests the moves may be overdone and increases in implied volatility leaves the door open for a reversal and downward correction. Attentions today turn to CPI inflation, manufacturing data and unemployment claims as key macroeconomic markers of economic strength while Fed chair Janet Yellen testifies before congress. Any suggestion from Yellen that the dollar rally is weighing on the minds of FOMC board members may be enough to douse the red hot USD.
0.7000 – 0.7140
The New Zealand Dollar has been one of the worse preforming currencies against the Greenback in the past seven days, having touched a high of 74c last week to fall to a low of 0.7032 last night, a 5% move lower. Despite US Producer Prices coming if short of expectations and US Industrial Production flat for the month of October the US Dollar remained strong supported by rate hike expectations next month. The US dollar Index rose to a 14 year high as investors have fully priced in a hike for the next Federal Reserve meeting in December. The Kiwi remains under pressure as investors focus on offshore data due today with US inflation and unemployment claims.
0.7530 - 0.7630
The Australian dollar has remained relatively unchanged from yesterday' market open as the Reserve Bank of Australia released its Monetary Policy meeting minutes for November. As expected the RBA is shifting to a more neutral guidance as they become more optimistic on the domestic economy. Previous interest rate cuts this year have assisted inflation in returning to targeted levels. On release of the minutes the Australian dollar rallied to an intraday high of 0.7580. Retail sales and the Empire State manufacturing index both strengthened in the United States for the month of October providing the catalyst for the dollar to rally and the AUD/USD cross to reach a low of 0.7510 overnight. A bout of profit taking on USD longs has seen the Aussie bounce back to open this morning at 0.7560.
1.6400 - 1.6600
A wild night on the Sterling cross as attentions turned back to Brexit discussions. A leaked memo to the times and seen by BBC has warned that the government has no actual exit strategy of leaving the European Union and up to 30,000 civil servants will be required to fulfil Brexit-related projects. The British Pound was also sold off in droves from intraday highs of 1.25 to a low of 1.2380 as CPI figures were released to the market where an annualised reading of 0.9% was down from September' reading of 1%. The Great British Pound has recovered slightly to open this morning at 1.2450 against the US dollar and is also trading at 1.6460 against the Australian Dollar and 1.7530 against the Kiwi.
A stronger than expected improvement in retail sales across the world' largest economy throughout October helped push the recent U.S Dollar rally toward 11 month highs through trade on Tuesday. Profit taking and an aggressive sell off of bonds had ensured the recent demand for treasury yields slowed halting the Greenbacks upward charge. The uptick in consumer spending however bolstered yields and reinforced expectations the Fed will raise rates next month. The dollar moved through 5 month highs against the Japanese Yen touching intraday highs at 109.34 while the Euro fell through 1.0750 for the first time since January. As demand for yields remains in intact and investors continue to price in changing Monetary Policy expectations there is scope for further USD gains through the short and medium term. It is however important to note that increases in implied volatility across key currency pares (USD/JPY and EUR/USD) suggest uncertainty remains heavy in the minds of investors. Traders and markets are still unsure of whether President Elect Donald Trump can deliver the aggressive fiscal stimulus promised throughout his campaign and analysts are wary of a sudden USD reversal should sentiment shift or the USD enter overbought territories. Attentions today turn to Producer Price indexes as a marker of consumer inflation and possible catalyst driving tighter monetary policy.
0.7050 - 0.71500
The New Zealand dollar edged lower throughout trade on Tuesday nearing one month lows and touching 0.7071 overnight. Despite improved dairy prices the Kiwi fell as stronger than expected U.S retail sales bolstered demand for the world' base currency. Increasing expectations the Fed will raise interest rates in December amid a rapid surge in demand for U.S Treasuries has forced a remarkable NZD sell off. Having lost over two and a half cents in the week since the U.S Presidential election the Kiwi sits poised on a point of key technical support. A move below 0.7055 could trigger further selling pressures and a deeper downward correction through 0.70. Attentions today turn offshore for direction ahead of key domestic retails sales numbers Thursday.
0.7480 – 0.7600
The Australian dollar traded in a narrow range yesterday absent of any major domestic data. Opening the session at 0.7540, a lower reading on Chinese retail sales and industrial production figures failed to cause any major concerns as the Aussie bounced off intraday support at 0.7520. We will continue to see downward pressure on high beta currencies as the market sees a shift higher in US bond yields and rising US inflation expectations. The Reserve Bank of Australia releases their minutes from the monetary policy meeting on Melbourne Cup Day where interest rates were left on hold at 1.5%. The Australian dollar opens this morning unchanged at 0.7550.
1.6480 – 1.6620
After recording its best fortnight in 8 years against the US Dollar, The British Pound peaked at 1.2580 on open yesterday morning before fading away to an overnight low of 1.2450 bucking the short term uptrend heading into this evenings all important UK Inflation figures. Forecasts are expected to show a two year high of 1.2% for the year which would be the highest reading since October 2014. Experts are predicting inflation to be above the Bank of England' 2% target by end of next year due to the general fall in Pound and commodity prices. Potential movements on Cable will also be seen with US retail sales this evening. The British Pound is currently testing 1.25 on open against the Greenback, and is lower against the Australian dollar (1.6550) and Kiwi (1.7590).
It has been all one way traffic during the early parts of this week with investors flocking towards the world' reserve currency. Whilst US markets enjoyed a long weekend in acknowledgement of Veterans Day, routs in global bonds and emerging markets intensified on Monday as investors looked to pre-empt a of wave fiscal stimulus from the newly elected President Donald Trump. Rising to its highest level in nine months the US dollar maintained its upward momentum versus most its major counterparts, a move made even more straightforward in anticipation of the US Federal Reserve' second rate increase of the year, expected to be delivered in December. In a session void of any data releases, the tide has well and truly turned in favour of the Greenback as budgetary assistance remains poised to cool the endlessly vast world of record low interest rates. Opening stronger versus the Euro at a rate of 1.0741 the Greenback is stronger also versus the Japanese Yen (108.374).
0.7060 – 0.7150
The New Zealand dollar has done well to hold its ground in the early parts of this week in light of a US Dollar which has taken flight in the wake of Donald Trump' victory. Whilst well off the highs witnessed last week, support at 0.7070 kicked in on Monday as investors continued to pull funds from gold and emerging markets, favouring instead US Dollar dominated assets. Opening in a marginally weaker position this morning at a rate of 0.7102, tomorrow' diary trade auction along with a retail sales number remains the domestic highlight.
0.7480 - 0.7630
The Australian dollar continued to see large swings of volatility as the US dollar strengthened against the majority of its counterparts Friday evening. Peaking at 0.7630 at the end of the domestic session, the Aussie continued its downward path through weekly support levels to close at 0.7540. The market continues to digest what the new incoming Presidents potential pro-growth, and fiscal policies will mean for the global economy. In the short term the Australian dollar is taking the brunt of movements as a surge into US Yields continues to gain momentum. On the domestic front this week the RBA releases its monetary policy minutes on Tuesday and Employment figures on Thursday. The Reserve Bank of Australia kept its cash rate on hold at 1.5% on its annual Melbourne Cup Day meeting and we could see further rhetoric tomorrow of changes to a neutral stance in rate guidance going forward as growth and inflation remain largely unchanged. The Australian dollar opens this morning steady at 0.7540 against the US Dollar.
1.6550 - 1.6750
The Great British Pound recorded its best fortnight in 8 years against the USD with investors' having turned their attention away from Brexit and focus shift towards the US presidential election. Since Donald Trump' victory the pound has been the best performer of any major currency. However, the pound' bullish run against the US dollar faded towards the end of Friday' European session. The pound still finished the week over half a cent higher rallying above 1.26 on Friday for the first time since October 6, despite the US Dollar' own strength. The main release for the Pound in the coming week is inflation data for the month of October, which is forecast to rise 1.1% (from 1.0% previously). On Wednesday, we have the release of the labour data which is expected to remain at 4.9 percent. The week rounds off with Retail Sales on Thursday. The Pound opens this morning steady at 1.2595 against the USD.
The USD dollar continued its upward march throughout trade on Friday as investors jumped behind the world' base currency on expectations Donald Trump' win could fuel fiscally driven inflation and support Federal Reserve rate hikes. The dollar touched its highest level in 9 months when measured against a basket of currencies and enjoyed its best weekly advance in over a year nudging 107 JPY while the Euro fell through 1.0850 to intraday lows at 1.0831. Having absorbed the initial shock markets have turned to review Trump' policies and his promises for infrastructure and domestic growth. The Republican President Elect has promised to spend big, improving infrastructure across the country while generating a broader base of new jobs. Such policies are seen as driving growth and inflation allowing some analysts to amend their timeline of Fed monetary policy changes. Increasing expectations, the Fed will raise rates in December along with a shorter path to future rate hikes has fuelled demand for the USD and highlights the gap between major Central Bank policy platforms. Direction today will again be driven by demand for U.S treasury yields while ECB President Mario Draghi address to Italian treasury will be closely scrutinised for any sign as to how the bank will act in response to last week' shock.
0.7040 - 0.7180
The New Zealand Dollar remained on the back foot for the latter part of last week after the Central Bank cut interest rates on Wednesday and the door remains open for further cuts. The NZD/USD continued to move lower on Friday from levels around 0.7200 after the US Consumer Sentiments figures increased to a 5-month high in November as investors remain optimistic around the US presidential elections last week and expectations that Trump policies will boost spending and inflation. The pair closed the New York Session around US 71c, down nearly 4% in the week, further downside risks are on the cards with Retail Sales expected to pull back from the previous quarter.
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